Forecast for EUR/USD on November 4, 2020


The euro gained 75 points on Tuesday due to below average trading volumes. Undoubtedly, this was a speculative growth in anticipation of the start of the national vote in the United States. The price has reached the target level of 1.1754 today. Getting the price to settle above 1.1754 may lead to rising towards 1.1880, but we consider this scenario as an alternative, since Biden is ahead of Trump at the moment with a score of 89 voters against 72. To win, you need to get 270 conditional voters, that is, a certain number of them depending on the victory in a specific state. We believe that Joe Biden's victory will lead to a stronger dollar. Also, the Senate is leaving the Republicans' control - 35% versus 49% of the Democrats.


The daily chart shows that the signal line of the Marlin oscillator reverses from the border of the growth area. We are waiting for the price to go under 1.1590, then it will continue to fall to 1.1495.


The four-hour chart shows that the price did not break any of the indicator lines above, it only punctured the MACD line. For high volatility, this is a typical case for large players to control the situation. Getting the price to settle below 1.1590 will be an important sign of the euro's succeeding decline.

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